Space Launches finally happening (perhaps?)

SpaceX targeting June 6 for next launch of Starship megarocket


SpaceX's giant Starship rocket will fly again this week, if all goes according to plan.



The company announced over the weekend that it's targeting Thursday (June 6) for the fourth-ever test flight of Starship, the biggest and most powerful rocket the world has ever known.



"Starship is ready to fly," SpaceX founder and CEO Elon Musk wrote in a Sunday (June 2) X post, which also shared several photos of the 400-foot-tall (122 meters) rocket on the pad at Starbase, the company's manufacturing and launch site in South Texas.


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NASA says it is “evaluating all options” for the safe return of Starliner crew
SpaceX is actively working on a plan to fly Starliner's crew home.

It has now been eight weeks since Boeing's Starliner spacecraft launched into orbit on an Atlas V rocket, bound for the International Space Station. At the time NASA officials said the two crew members, Butch Wilmore and Suni Williams, could return to Earth as soon as June 14, just eight days later.



Yes, there had been some problems on Starliner's ride to the space station that involved helium leaks and failing thrusters. But officials said they were relatively minor and sought to downplay them. "Those are pretty small, really, issues to deal with," Mark Nappi, vice president and manager of Boeing's Commercial Crew Program, said during a post-docking news conference. "We’ll figure them out for the next mission. I don’t see these as significant at all."



But days turned to weeks, and weeks turned to months as NASA and Boeing continued to study the two technical problems. Of these issues, the more pressing concern was the failure of multiple reaction control system thrusters that are essential to steering Starliner during its departure from the space station and setting up a critical engine burn to enter Earth's atmosphere.
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Dragon becomes a real option


One week ago, the last time NASA officials spoke to the media, the agency's program manager for commercial crew, Steve Stich, would not be drawn into discussing what would happen should NASA conclude that Starliner's thrusters were not reliable enough for the return journey to Earth.



“Our prime option is to complete the mission," Stich said one week ago. "There are a lot of good reasons to complete this mission and bring Butch and Suni home on Starliner. Starliner was designed, as a spacecraft, to have the crew in the cockpit."



For a long time, it seemed almost certain that the astronauts would return to Earth inside Starliner. However, there has been a lot of recent activity at NASA, Boeing, and SpaceX that suggests that Wilmore and Williams could come home aboard a Crew Dragon spacecraft rather than Starliner. Due to the critical importance of this mission, Ars is sharing what we know as of Thursday afternoon.



One informed source said it was greater than a 50-50 chance that the crew would come back on Dragon. Another source said it was significantly more likely than not they would. To be clear, NASA has not made a final decision. This probably will not happen until at least next week. It is likely that Jim Free, NASA's associate administrator, will make the call.
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The toughest of calls


NASA officials face a difficult decision. Because there is still at least a small risk to flying Starliner in its present condition, the space agency and Boeing have tested the thrusters as thoroughly as possible while the spacecraft is docked to the space station. This testing was intended to "buy down" these risks. But while the data is good, it has not addressed all of NASA's concerns.



So what will the space agency do? Starliner probably could make it back to Earth safely. But there appears to be some reasonable doubt that Starliner will come back safely. If NASA defers to its fallback plan, flying on Dragon, it may spell the end of the Starliner program. During the development and testing of Starliner, the company has already lost $1.6 billion. Reflying a crew test flight mission, which likely would be necessary should Starliner return autonomously, would cost much more. Boeing might opt to cancel Starliner and leave NASA with just a single provider of crew transportation. That would be painful for both NASA and Boeing.



But the alternative—Starliner not coming home safely with the crew inside—is far, far worse. This is the risk-reward decision that Free, Stich, and other NASA officials ultimately must balance in the coming days.