|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Oct 31, 2024 10:59:32 GMT -6
as foretold; they are prepping for violence
|
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Oct 31, 2024 11:41:41 GMT -6
 wow, +19 for FTV seems YUGE |
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Nov 1, 2024 5:50:57 GMT -6
OKLAHOMA FIRST DAY EARLY VOTE + MAIL ABSENTEE BALLOTS RETURNED
🟥 GOP: 155,910 (+72,931)
🟦 DEM: 82,979
🟨 Other: 36,026
|
|
|
|
Post by moody on Nov 1, 2024 6:18:31 GMT -6
Prediction: If Trump overcomes the Democrat fraud, and wins the election, we will have a January 6th for the ages.
Democrats refusing to verify. Protests that would make 2021 look tame by comparison. But, my real prediction is that the MSM will praise these new J-6 on steroids protests as “mostly peaceful.”
God knows where this goes from there.
|
|
|
|
Post by longtimereader on Nov 1, 2024 6:22:32 GMT -6
Prediction: If Trump overcomes the Democrat fraud, and wins the election, we will have a January 6th for the ages. Democrats refusing to verify. Protests that would make 2021 look tame by comparison. But, my real prediction is that the MSM will praise these new J-6 on steroids protests as “mostly peaceful.” God knows where this goes from there. They will be declared FREEDOM FIGHTERS!!! |
|
|
|
Post by moody on Nov 1, 2024 6:26:01 GMT -6
While we are all hyper-focused on the Presidential race, and rightly so, the race for control of the House and Senate is also critically important, more so than with a “normal election.”
Jamie Raskin, and others including Biden, have boldly claimed that Trump will never be allowed to take office. Raskin even suggested they would throw our county into civil war before they “allow” a Trump presidency. “Democracy”, don’t you know?
If Trump wins, the Republicans maintain the house, and take the Senate, then Trump will get seated on 1/21/25. If the Democrats take the house and Senate, then all bets are off!
|
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Nov 1, 2024 6:29:25 GMT -6
NPR/Marist Final Poll
Already voted
🔵 Pennsylvania - Harris +28
🔵 Michigan - Harris +27
🔵 Wisconsin - Harris +14
——
Yet to vote
🔴 Pennsylvania - Trump +10
🔴 Michigan - Trump +21
🔴 Wisconsin - Trump +8
#6 (2.9/3.0) | 10-27-30 | Likely voters
|
|
|
|
Post by moody on Nov 1, 2024 6:40:16 GMT -6
Which Party is fighting so hard to keep illegal voters on the rolls, days before the election?
Do you still think the democrats don’t cheat? What is wrong with your cognitive abilities?
|
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Nov 1, 2024 8:48:10 GMT -6
🚨 PENNSYLVANIA UPDATE:
🔵Democrats - 947,214
🔴Republicans - 553,158
🟡Others - 188,179
Democrats lead by 394,057
In 2020, Democrats led early vote by 1.1 Million Votes going into Election Day.
5 million votes to go in PA!
|
|
|
|
Post by longtimereader on Nov 1, 2024 9:48:38 GMT -6
🚨 PENNSYLVANIA UPDATE: 🔵Democrats - 947,214 🔴Republicans - 553,158 🟡Others - 188,179 Democrats lead by 394,057 In 2020, Democrats led early vote by 1.1 Million Votes going into Election Day. 5 million votes to go in PA! Come on Amish! Make PA go red and kick the Dems in the balls. |
|
|
|
Post by captbudman on Nov 1, 2024 9:58:01 GMT -6
|
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Nov 1, 2024 14:02:06 GMT -6
Early voting - Arizona
🔴 Republicans - 41% (+9.9)
🔵 Democrats - 33.1%
🟡 Other - 25.8%
🔵 2020 - Democrats +0.4%
|
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Nov 1, 2024 14:55:23 GMT -6
Today, I worked out the math for an Election Day victory, and here's why Pennsylvania may be even more gone for Democrats than North Carolina.
The base case is this: In 2020, 1,718,726 Democrats and 618,238 Republicans voted by mail in Pennsylvania.
Today, that number is 919,949 Democrats and 531,028 Republicans. There are still votes waiting to be returned, but in the most optimistic case where Democrats return every single outstanding ballot, they will approach Election Day with 500,000 fewer votes. But ballot return rates are starting to lag behind Republicans', and most likely, they will head into Election Day with a 650,000 vote disadvantage.
Republicans, meanwhile, have been filling up mail voting with lower propensity voters. It is important to note Republicans are not going to significantly exceed their 2020 totals in early voting - their advantage there is that Democrats have completely destroyed their own 2020 totals.
Yes, some 2020 Election Day voters are banking their votes earlier in 2024. But many more 2020 Republican mail voters have yet to turn out and are being replaced with low propensity or new Republican voters. Democrats may argue - "well, how do you know these voters will turn out on Election Day?" - but that is a case of overlooking the plank in their own eyes. They are the ones with the problem of converting 650,000 2020 mail voters to 2024 Election Day voters. Any friction there, will greatly benefit the Republicans. In short, to virtually guarantee Election Day victory - Republicans simply have to repeat their 2020 turnout.
|
|
|
|
Post by captbudman on Nov 1, 2024 15:27:58 GMT -6
Today, I worked out the math for an Election Day victory, and here's why Pennsylvania may be even more gone for Democrats than North Carolina.
The base case is this: In 2020, 1,718,726 Democrats and 618,238 Republicans voted by mail in Pennsylvania.
Today, that number is 919,949 Democrats and 531,028 Republicans. There are still votes waiting to be returned, but in the most optimistic case where Democrats return every single outstanding ballot, they will approach Election Day with 500,000 fewer votes. But ballot return rates are starting to lag behind Republicans', and most likely, they will head into Election Day with a 650,000 vote disadvantage.
Republicans, meanwhile, have been filling up mail voting with lower propensity voters. It is important to note Republicans are not going to significantly exceed their 2020 totals in early voting - their advantage there is that Democrats have completely destroyed their own 2020 totals.
Yes, some 2020 Election Day voters are banking their votes earlier in 2024. But many more 2020 Republican mail voters have yet to turn out and are being replaced with low propensity or new Republican voters. Democrats may argue - "well, how do you know these voters will turn out on Election Day?" - but that is a case of overlooking the plank in their own eyes. They are the ones with the problem of converting 650,000 2020 mail voters to 2024 Election Day voters. Any friction there, will greatly benefit the Republicans. In short, to virtually guarantee Election Day victory - Republicans simply have to repeat their 2020 turnout. The key still is for people to vote. The Republicans have done a good job at getting the "low propensity voters" (those who haven't voted in the last 1, 2, or 3 elections) to turn out. They still need a big turnout to win. If the early vote catabolizes next Tuesday's vote, Pennsylvania will be tight. The only other good news is that Philadelphia is having a low turnout for Democrat compared to the last two Presidential elections. Translated: Blacks are staying home. If this trend holds for Tuesday, than that's good news -- and likely translates to other Rust Belt states. |
|
|
|
Post by Billy John Davy on Nov 1, 2024 15:36:20 GMT -6
dem shenanigans in Bucks County PA
|
|
