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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 20, 2024 7:42:49 GMT -6
@natesilver538 forecast (chance of winning)
September 9 π₯ Trump: 64.4% π¦ Harris: 35.3%
September 20 π¦ Harris: 51.1% π₯ Trump: 48.6% ββ Swing States: chance of winning
Michigan - π΅ Harris 62-38% Wisconsin - π΅ Harris 55-45% Pennsylvania - π΅ Harris 54-46% Nevada - π΅ Harris 53-47% North Carolina - π΄ Trump 62-38% Arizona - π΄ Trump 65-35% Georgia - π΄ Trump 64-36% ββ @polymarket odds π¦ Harris: 51% π₯ Trump: 48%
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Post by captbudman on Sept 20, 2024 9:00:34 GMT -6
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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 21, 2024 12:12:39 GMT -6
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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 22, 2024 7:14:25 GMT -6
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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 23, 2024 7:23:49 GMT -6
#New NYT General election poll
ARIZONA
π΄ Trump: 50% (+5)
π΅ Harris: 45%
Last poll (8/15) - π΅ Harris +5
ββ
NORTH CAROLINA
π΄ Trump: 49% (+2)
π΅ Harris: 47%
Last poll (8/15) - π΅ Harris +2
ββ
GEORGIA
π΄Trump: 49% (+4)
π΅ Harris: 45%
Last poll (8/15) - π΄ Trump +4
ββ
Siena #A - 2,670 LV - 9/21
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Post by captbudman on Sept 23, 2024 8:27:33 GMT -6
InteractivePolls @iapolls2022 π WISCONSIN GE: @massincpolling for @wisconsinwatch π¦ Harris: 53% π₯ Trump: 46% β Full field π¦ Harris: 51% π₯ Trump: 45% π¨ RFK Jr: 1% π© Stein: 1% ββ WI Senate π¦ Baldwin (inc): 52% π₯ Hovde: 44% ββ Fav/unfav β’ Baldwin: 51-43 (net: +8) β’ Walz: 49-46 (+3) β’ Harris: 49-48 (+1) β’ Vance: 43-51 (-8) β’ Trump: 44-53 (-9) β’ Hovde: 40-51 (-11) ββ β’ #18 (2.8/3.0) | 800 LV | 9/12-18 β’ Party ID: R36/D32/I32 | MoE: Β±3.8% wisconsinwatch.org/2024/09/harris-trump-wisconsin-watch-poll-voters-election-president/
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Post by captbudman on Sept 23, 2024 8:28:03 GMT -6
InteractivePolls
@iapolls2022
π MINNESOTA GE: Mason-Dixon for
@startribune
π¦ Harris: 48%
π₯ Trump: 43%
πͺ Other: 2%
ββ
Fav/unfav
Harris: 47-51 (-4)
Trump: 46-53 (-7)
ββ
#31 (2.6/3.0) | 800 LV | 9/16-18
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Post by captbudman on Sept 23, 2024 8:28:43 GMT -6
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Post by captbudman on Sept 23, 2024 8:29:30 GMT -6
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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 23, 2024 9:07:14 GMT -6
NEW: Emerson College/The Hill poll finds Trump with edge in most swing states, but race remains tight
GA:
Trump 50
Harris 47
AZ:
Trump 49
Harris 48
WI:
Trump 49
Harris 48
PA:
Trump 48
Harris 47
NV:
Trump 48
Harris 48
NC
Trump 49
Harris 48
MI
Trump 47
Harris 49
9/15-9/18
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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 23, 2024 9:22:17 GMT -6
NEW: Emerson College/The Hill poll finds Trump with edge in most swing states, but race remains tight WI:
Trump 49
Harris 48
PA: Trump 48 Harris 47 Billy, several of your post have WI with a strike through. Just curious as to why. the WI supreme court has authorized dem cheating in the form of ballot drop boxes. With such cheating blatantly legal, no R can win the state. PA almost got one, but their high court ruled that the law is the law and ballots missing required information will not count.
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Post by captbudman on Sept 23, 2024 15:17:57 GMT -6
Rasmussen is releasing its polls. Below are questions for Pennsylvania. Very interesting "tabs" or results. Why doesn't Nate Silver give this type of data?
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Post by captbudman on Sept 23, 2024 19:39:53 GMT -6
Rasmussen just released their latest Georgia and Pennsylvania polls: InteractivePolls @iapolls2022 π PA & GA POLL: @rasm PENNSYLVANIA π¦ Harris: 48% π₯ Trump: 48% πͺ Other: 1% With leaners π¦ Harris: 50% π₯ Trump: 49% πͺ Other: 1% β PA Senate π¦ Casey (inc): 45% π₯ McCormick: 45% πͺ Other: 5% β¬ Undecided: 5% β PA Generic Ballot π₯ GOP: 49% π¦ DEM: 47% ββ GEORGIA π₯ Trump: 50% π¦ Harris: 47% With leaners π₯ Trump: 51% π¦ Harris: 47% β GA Generic Ballot π₯ GOP: 49% π¦ DEM: 44% ββ β’ 2,354 LV | Sept. 19-22 | MoE: Β±3% β’ PA Party ID: D43/R43 | GA: R37/D34 rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/partner_surveys/crosstabs_american_thinker_pa_and_ga_september_19_22_2024
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Post by Billy John Davy on Sept 24, 2024 8:03:24 GMT -6
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Post by captbudman on Sept 24, 2024 8:25:01 GMT -6
James Carville said, "It's the economy stupid." Reagan famously said, "are you better off now than you were 4 years ago." These numbers can't be good for Kamala or Bidenomics.
Mark Mitchell was on Bannon's War Room (w/o Bannon) explaining the results. He said that he has more states to be released besides GA and PA. With the numbers like this, can the other polls showing Kamala winning actually be true (and I'm referring to actual voters, not the Dem machine's steal efforts).
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